Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 513.36 | $0.189 | $96.92 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.17 |
| $0.630 |
| $3.26 |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.930 | $3.39 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 606.66 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo | buy | 12.71 | $0.310 | $3.94 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.140 | $1.22 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.039 | $0.71 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.003 | $0.26 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue over South Park episode?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.009 | $0.75 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.080 | $2.18 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump sue over South Park episode?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.087 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 19.52 | $0.016 | $0.31 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.720 | $9 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.540 | $3.5 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during the Fox News interview on July 12?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during the Fox News interview on July 12?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "God" during the Fox News interview on July 12?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.012 | $0.3 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 17.36 | $0.288 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 7 | $0.496 | $3.47 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 9.05 | $0.972 | $8.8 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.996 | $7.37 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.210 | $1.16 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.023 | $2 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.198 | $2.77 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.210 | $1.5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.510 | $1.5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | Jun 4, 2025 |