Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:01 AM UTC.
Villainous-Emergent is down $67.96 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:01 AM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 46 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Oct 6, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 19.82 | $0.858 | $16.95 | -$0.05 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 2d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 10:20 UTC
Polymarket public position response
42 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 01:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 01:01 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $18.3 and losing ones cost $7.58 across 11 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.9 on “Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.76 on “Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 64 markets. Its open positions are worth $186 across 42 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 22.78 |
| $0.790 |
| $16.75 |
| -$1.25 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 21.11 | $0.758 | $15.94 | -$0.06 |
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? | No | 17.54 | $0.570 | $14.56 | +$4.56 |
Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026? | No | 12.06 | $0.829 | $11.57 | +$1.57 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $9.84 | -$0.16 |
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.11 | $0.740 | $6.93 | +$0.93 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 7.21 | $0.832 | $6.31 | +$0.31 |
Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | $0 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | No | 5 | $0.600 | $4.87 | +$1.87 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4.86 | +$0.86 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 7.69 | $0.650 | $4.77 | -$0.23 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $4.75 | -$0.25 |
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $4.75 | -$0.25 |
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.77 | $0.520 | $4.38 | +$1.38 |
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4.11 | +$0.11 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.520 | $3.8 | -$1.2 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3.5 | +$0.5 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.19 | $0.477 | $3.06 | +$1.06 |
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2.83 | +$0.83 |
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.5 | +$0.5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | No | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2.48 | +$0.48 |
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?No| buy |
| 6.06 |
| $0.330 |
| $2 |
| 4d ago |
Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 4d ago |
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 4d ago |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 6d ago |
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.080 | $0.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Zacharia say "America First" during the next White House Press Briefing?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.993 | $1.49 | 7d ago |
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 7d ago |
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 8d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.663 | $1 | 8d ago |
Will Molde FK win on 2026-10-11?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | 9d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | 9d ago |
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 10d ago |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will IK Start win on 2026-10-11?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 10d ago |
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | 10d ago |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 10d ago |
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 11d ago |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 11d ago |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | 11d ago |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4 | 11d ago |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 11d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 11d ago |
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$140 | buy | 3.15 | $0.634 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will JPMorgan say "Reduction" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 11d ago |
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will PepsiCo say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.999 | $5.87 | 12d ago |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | 13d ago |
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 14d ago |
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 14d ago |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 14d ago |
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will PepsiCo say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | 14d ago |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.477 | $2 | 14d ago |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 14d ago |
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 14d ago |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | 15d ago |
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | 15d ago |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | 15d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.