Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 67% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 33% on 21 Oct 2026. $10.15K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 3:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 67.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Socialista | Yes | 474.36 |
| a.weidel | Yes | 327.37 |
| Eminent-Snake | Yes | 295.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony-20261016121846566
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 167 |
| chrissueco | Yes | 80 |
| juanpablo2004 | Yes | 73.08 |
| 0xRgsta | Yes | 55.19 |
| xcvsgdd | No | 50.75 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 40 |
