Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 641.27 | $0.840 | $606 | +$67.13 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 6K | $0.926 | $5.56K | Jun 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 576.3 |
| $0.900 |
| $563.05 |
| +$44.38 |
 StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | No | 276.93 | $0.971 | $269.59 | +$0.74 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.151 | $225.93 | -$27.07 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 236.15 | $0.930 | $219.15 | -$0.47 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 145.5 | $0.771 | $136.99 | +$24.85 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 146.28 | $0.545 | $132.38 | +$52.59 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 134.23 | $0.760 | $128.19 | +$26.17 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 110.07 | $0.860 | $107.65 | +$12.99 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 94.82 | $0.920 | $94.11 | +$6.87 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.600 | $68.83 | -$533.63 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 74.17 | $0.900 | $63.42 | -$3.34 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 65 | $0.780 | $58.83 | +$8.13 |
 Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 19.91 | $0.090 | $18.62 | +$16.82 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 19.45 | $0.850 | $16.39 | -$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 624.3 | $0.099 | $15.92 | -$46.03 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $14.5 | +$3.5 |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 190.64 | $0.055 | $11.53 | +$0.99 |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 277 | $0.027 | $8.73 | +$1.25 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 118.42 | $0.120 | $6.51 | -$7.7 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.65 | $0.243 | $5.22 | -$3.68 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 20.53 | $0.373 | $5.03 | -$2.62 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 5 | $0.956 | $4.88 | +$0.1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.912 | $4.81 | +$0.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.151 | $3.99 | -$6.61 |
| buy |
| 65 |
| $0.780 |
| $50.7 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.912 | $4.56 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.924 | $9.24 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.570 | $1.71 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 609.01 | $0.017 | $10.15 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 100.42 | $0.250 | $25.09 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?Yes | buy | 43.15 | $0.498 | $21.48 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 56.85 | $0.970 | $55.14 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 145.5 | $0.771 | $112.13 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 70.66 | $0.179 | $12.62 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.027 | $6.1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?No | buy | 225.93 | $0.971 | $219.38 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.027 | $1.38 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?No | buy | 51 | $0.970 | $49.47 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 74.17 | $0.900 | $66.75 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 522.08 | $0.154 | $80.44 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 301.59 | $0.150 | $45.13 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 107.67 | $0.940 | $101.21 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.2 | $0.055 | $3.37 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of March?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.050 | $0.38 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.060 | $4.8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 322.12 | $0.006 | $1.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 232.49 | $0.006 | $1.39 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 118.42 | $0.120 | $14.21 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 249.59 | $0.917 | $228.87 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 19.37 | $0.780 | $15.11 | Mar 27, 2026 |