Latest trade
Jun 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 5:36 AM UTC.
Analytics
riskmanagement467 has made $174.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 5:36 AM UTC.
$2.88 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Mar 27, 2026 UTC to Jun 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 641.27 | $0.840 | $608.24 | +$69.38 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | -$826.36 | $1.22K | 181 | 92 | 3.3% | $13.44 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 6K | $0.926 | $5.56K | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
38 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 05:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 05:36 UTC
polymarket positions
38 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $933.79 and losing ones cost $432.07 across 37 settled positions. 54.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $557.23 on “MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?” (Yes); the largest loss, $229.02 on “MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?” (No).
It first traded on 5 Mar 2026 and most recently on 2 Jun 2026, 145 days ago. It has traded 93 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($1.22K). Its open positions are worth $2.58K across 38 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 576.3 |
| $0.900 |
| $562.18 |
| +$43.51 |
 StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | No | 276.93 | $0.971 | $275.13 | +$6.28 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 236.15 | $0.930 | $230.6 | +$10.98 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 146.28 | $0.545 | $138.09 | +$58.3 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 145.5 | $0.771 | $137.57 | +$25.44 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 134.23 | $0.760 | $130.81 | +$28.79 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 110.07 | $0.860 | $108.69 | +$14.03 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 94.82 | $0.920 | $94.39 | +$7.16 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 74.17 | $0.900 | $72.43 | +$5.67 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 65 | $0.780 | $62.69 | +$11.99 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.600 | $40.7 | -$561.77 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.151 | $38.49 | -$214.51 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 19.45 | $0.850 | $18.07 | +$1.54 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 624.3 | $0.099 | $9.05 | -$52.9 |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 277 | $0.027 | $6.37 | -$1.11 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.65 | $0.243 | $5.66 | -$3.24 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.912 | $4.91 | +$0.35 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 5 | $0.956 | $4.89 | +$0.11 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 20.53 | $0.373 | $4.21 | -$3.44 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.530 | $3.28 | +$0.63 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $2.35 | -$8.65 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.151 | $2.21 | -$8.39 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.17 | $0.083 | $2.09 | +$1.08 |
| buy |
| 65 |
| $0.780 |
| $50.7 |
| Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.912 | $4.56 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.924 | $9.24 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.570 | $1.71 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 609.01 | $0.017 | $10.15 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 100.42 | $0.250 | $25.09 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?Yes | buy | 43.15 | $0.498 | $21.48 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 56.85 | $0.970 | $55.14 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 145.5 | $0.771 | $112.13 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 70.66 | $0.179 | $12.62 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.027 | $6.1 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?No | buy | 225.93 | $0.971 | $219.38 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.027 | $1.38 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?No | buy | 51 | $0.970 | $49.47 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 74.17 | $0.900 | $66.75 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 522.08 | $0.154 | $80.44 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 301.59 | $0.150 | $45.13 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 107.67 | $0.940 | $101.21 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.2 | $0.055 | $3.37 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of March?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.050 | $0.38 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.060 | $4.8 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 26.39 | $0.360 | $9.5 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 322.12 | $0.006 | $1.93 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 232.49 | $0.006 | $1.39 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.