Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 212 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 22 Jun 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.9% on 22 Jun 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 63.5% on 13 May 2026. $3.56M traded over the market's life.
675 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 23, 10:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 212 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 22 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | No | 143.8K |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 20.03K |
| UpTight | No | 18.74K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BlindGibbon | No | 13.92K |
| Golden Falcon 3FFE | No | 11K |
| GollumGekko | No | 10K |
| troim | No | 10K |
| quiteimprobable | No | 8.1K |
| ethBELIVER | No | 8.02K |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 7.88K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
