Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 6.41K | $0.197 | $384.51 | -$877.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.440 | $52.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 436.14 |
| $0.415 |
| $340.19 |
| +$159.35 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 4.6K | $0.224 | $299.16 | -$730 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.049 | $110 | +$56 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.280 | $88 | -$24 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.062 | $70 | -$146.98 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 200.01 | $0.535 | $40 | -$67 |
| sell |
| 111 |
| $0.420 |
| $46.62 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.443 | $53.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 116 | $0.130 | $15.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | sell | 223.44 | $0.012 | $2.76 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 204.21 | $0.024 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | sell | 20.84 | $0.330 | $6.88 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | sell | 17.85 | $0.420 | $7.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 400 | $0.130 | $52 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.390 | $10.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 175.37 | $0.380 | $66.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.389 | $116.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.68 | $0.101 | $1.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 77.38 | $0.659 | $51 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 435 | $0.550 | $239.25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.939 | $1.49K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 115.18 | $0.050 | $5.76 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.8K | $0.686 | $5.35K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.6K | $0.080 | $208 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.82 | $0.491 | $4.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.7K | $0.160 | $1.23K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.400 | $415.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.170 | $340 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.62K | $0.192 | $694.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.53K | $0.190 | $669.89 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.6K | $0.095 | $437 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.8K | $0.380 | $1.82K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.064 | $4.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 905 | $0.420 | $380.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.47K | $0.265 | $3.57K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 853 | $0.260 | $221.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.263 | $364.55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 217.12 | $0.260 | $56.45 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 87.08 | $0.230 | $20.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 218.34 | $0.170 | $37.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.250 | $431.35 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 4.1K | $0.007 | $28.7 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.572 | $114.4 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.160 | $160 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.370 | $647.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |