Analytics
riskmanagement467 has made $174.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 641.27 | $0.840 | $608.24 | +$69.38 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 06:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
38 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 08:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 08:02 UTC
polymarket positions
38 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:38 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $933.79 and losing ones cost $432.07 across 37 settled positions. 54.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $557.23 on “MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?” (Yes); the largest loss, $229.02 on “MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?” (No).
It has traded 93 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.58K across 38 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 576.3 |
| $0.900 |
| $562.18 |
| +$43.51 |
 StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | No | 276.93 | $0.971 | $275.13 | +$6.28 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 236.15 | $0.930 | $230.48 | +$10.86 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 146.28 | $0.545 | $138.09 | +$58.3 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 145.5 | $0.771 | $137.64 | +$25.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 134.23 | $0.760 | $130.81 | +$28.79 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 110.07 | $0.860 | $108.69 | +$14.03 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 94.82 | $0.920 | $94.39 | +$7.16 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 74.17 | $0.900 | $72.43 | +$5.67 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 65 | $0.780 | $62.69 | +$11.99 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.600 | $40.7 | -$561.77 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.151 | $38.49 | -$214.51 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 19.45 | $0.850 | $18.05 | +$1.52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 624.3 | $0.099 | $9.05 | -$52.9 |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 277 | $0.027 | $6.09 | -$1.39 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.65 | $0.243 | $5.66 | -$3.24 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.912 | $4.9 | +$0.34 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 5 | $0.956 | $4.89 | +$0.11 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 20.53 | $0.373 | $4.21 | -$3.44 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.530 | $3.68 | +$1.03 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $2.35 | -$8.65 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.151 | $2.21 | -$8.39 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.17 | $0.083 | $2.09 | +$1.08 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
