Latest trade
Sep 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:18 PM UTC.
Analytics
polwally4 is down $237.3 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 33 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:18 PM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Nov 7, 2025 UTC to Sep 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 1.08K | $0.922 | $1.07K | +$65.56 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 14:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 14:18 UTC
polymarket positions
34 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $411.4 and losing ones cost $70.21 across 33 settled positions. 97% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $79.45 on “Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?” (Yes); the largest loss, $70.21 on “Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Sep 2026. It has traded 48 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.83K across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 813.63 |
| $0.737 |
| $744.47 |
| +$144.47 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.55K | $0.044 | $694.08 | +$494.09 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 519.75 | $0.962 | $513.25 | +$13.25 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 315.07 | $0.952 | $294.43 | -$5.57 |
 Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | No | 218.59 | $0.915 | $214 | +$14 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Obama | Nothing | 111.39 | $0.898 | $104.65 | +$4.65 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50.61 | $0.988 | $50.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50.56 | $0.989 | $50.48 | +$0.48 |
| buy |
| 108.7 |
| $0.920 |
| $100 |
| Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.923 | $1K | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaNothing | buy | 111.39 | $0.898 | $100 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 52.08 | $0.960 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 519.75 | $0.962 | $500 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 50.56 | $0.989 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 104.9 | $0.953 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 179.45 | $0.557 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 104.18 | $0.960 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 50.61 | $0.988 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 106.95 | $0.935 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.044 | $200 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 229.54 | $0.920 | $211.18 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 USDT depeg in 2025?No | buy | 155.71 | $0.963 | $150 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.994 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?No | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 287.23 | $0.975 | $280 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 287.36 | $0.870 | $250 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Yes | buy | 104.96 | $0.953 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Bezos divorce in 2025?No | buy | 101.35 | $0.987 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 207.57 | $0.964 | $200 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No | buy | 315.79 | $0.950 | $300 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 259.57 | $0.770 | $200 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 205.54 | $0.973 | $200 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No | buy | 268.3 | $0.984 | $264.01 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 221.24 | $0.904 | $200 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 208.12 | $0.961 | $200 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 260.42 | $0.960 | $250 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 131.55 | $0.597 | $78.49 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 289.14 | $0.346 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 102.15 | $0.979 | $100 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 704.93 | $0.709 | $500 | Nov 7, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.