Analytics
The Nothing side is at 94.3%, up 4.2 points from 90% when the market opened on 12 Feb 2026.
Across the 247 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 76% on 20 Mar 2026. A week before that last close the Nothing side was at 93.7%; a month before, 93.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 76.5% on 19 Mar 2026.
$6.05 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.26K since listing. The order book holds $14.17K, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 278 trades, $2.35K bought Nothing and $823.88 bought Something; the largest was a $1.03K buy of Nothing at 95.4¢.
The largest Nothing position is LaPulgaLeo with 1.1K shares; the largest Something position is barronwill with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 76.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 10:52 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Nothing price, Polymarket CLOB, 247 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Nothing price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 90.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 94.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| barronwill | Something | 1.6K |
| LaPulgaLeo | Nothing | 1.08K |
| Melqui | Nothing | 492.22 |
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Obama federally charged - Obama arrested - Obama divorce Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-obama
| Spotted-Chasuble |
| Something |
| 285 |
| Solar Raven A90C | Nothing | 271.07 |
| Slushy-Walkway | Something | 238.19 |
| Single-Challenge | Nothing | 192 |
| 5atka | Something | 117.54 |
| polwally4 | Nothing | 111.39 |
| Ian86 | Nothing | 104.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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