Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 22 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 27.5% on 28 May 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 27.5% on 28 May 2025. $419.41K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 9:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 315 points, 22 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON | Yes | 8.36K |
| goontown | Yes | 1.23K |
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
On February 21, a bat coronavirus that has the capacity to spread to humans, similar to the one that caused the COVID-19 pandemic, was reportedly discovered (See: https://www.newsweek.com/new-coronavirus-bat-chinese-lab-2034232) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between February 21, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-coronavirus-pandemic-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| aleuijipv | No | 639.44 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Linear-Permafrost | Yes | 425.71 |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 226.4 |
| ProfitMagnets | Yes | 224.11 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 199.97 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
