Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 177 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 5.5% on 10 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Dec 2025. $64.64K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ShibaIna | Yes | 600 |
| Smooth-Website | Yes | 306.85 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 253.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Bezos and/or Lauren Sánchez announce their intention to divorce between July 8, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Jeff Bezos and/or Lauren Sánchez, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bezos-divorce-in-2025
| Yes |
| 225.99 |
| Anjun | Yes | 221.98 |
| Davidpetrovic | Yes | 200 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 161.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 145 |
| Nickilista | Yes | 125.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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