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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 15.7 | $0.970 | $15.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 15.7 |
| $0.300 |
| $4.71 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Build Wars: Webflow vs. LovableLovable | buy | 73.44 | $0.335 | $24.6 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?No | buy | 0.76 | $0.290 | $0.22 | Dec 14, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.710 | $0.22 | Dec 14, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.640 | $0.2 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.44 | $0.874 | $10 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his next speech?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Elon" in his next speech?No | buy | 22.86 | $0.350 | $8 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | Nov 17, 2024 |
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Nov 17, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.780 | $1.78 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Annual inflation above 2.4% in October?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 21.39 | $0.234 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.375 | $5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.189 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Trump + Elon conversation over 2 hours long?Yes | buy | 13.07 | $0.880 | $11.5 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.050 | $13.5 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Iran military response by Friday?Yes | buy | 16.2 | $0.590 | $9.56 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Mars" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Civil war" during Elon interview?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 12, 2024 |
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 24.56 | $0.590 | $14.49 | Jul 4, 2024 |
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 37.67 | $0.760 | $28.63 | Jan 18, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.110 | $29.7 | Jan 18, 2024 |
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?Yes | sell | 293.1 | $0.019 | $5.57 | Nov 9, 2023 |
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Sep 18, 2023 |