Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61%. Yes opened at 44% on 30 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2023 to 2 Feb 2024, the highest close was 61% on 2 Feb 2024 and the lowest 9.5% on 5 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 60.5% on 31 Jan 2024. $731.34K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 30 Dec 2023 – 2 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2023 | 44.0% |
| 2 Feb 2024 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip for any length of time between December 26, 2023, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM GMT+2. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip. In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with majority of control of the Gaza Strip will be considered the primary governing authority. If at any point within the time window of this market Hamas is not recognized as the primary governing authority of the Gaza Strip, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes". This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hamas-lose-power-in-gaza-before-february
| YesCuz | No | 5.13K |
| Garlicstorm | No | 1.22K |
| iamone14 | No | 497.81 |
| tensor | No | 328.01 |
| Anchor6 | No | 311.84 |
| 0xRektDev | No | 281.65 |
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