Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.060 | $12.3 | Feb 2, 2024 |
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McSwaggy is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,041,454 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$1.61K observed lifetime PnL, 37 resolved positions, a 70.3% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x1285b38d34d0d8b7f4c6649070cf53352ac6ce6c
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.220 |
| $8.8 |
| Feb 2, 2024 |
 Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 873.75 | $0.490 | $428.14 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.450 | $540 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 800 | $0.430 | $344 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Jan 31, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.78K | $0.370 | $1.4K | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.480 | $744 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.370 | $740 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 1K | $0.480 | $480 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.370 | $370 | Jan 31, 2024 |
 Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?No | sell | 171 | $0.993 | $169.8 | Jan 31, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.78K | $0.390 | $2.64K | Jan 26, 2024 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world on January 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.530 | $318 | Jan 26, 2024 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.530 | $318 | Jan 26, 2024 |
 Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%No | sell | 3.28K | $0.999 | $3.28K | Jan 26, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%No | buy | 1.08K | $0.920 | $997.51 | Jan 24, 2024 |
 Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.930 | $372 | Jan 24, 2024 |
 Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?No | sell | 600 | $0.973 | $583.8 | Jan 24, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%No | buy | 1.7K | $0.890 | $1.51K | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%No | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?No | buy | 171 | $0.845 | $144.51 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Will ETH hit $3,000 in January?No | buy | 600 | $0.820 | $492 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 750 | $0.770 | $577.5 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?No | buy | 400 | $0.730 | $292 | Jan 17, 2024 |
 Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?No | buy | 3.84K | $0.820 | $3.15K | Jan 5, 2024 |
 Will Hamas surrender in 2023?No | sell | 189.83 | $0.979 | $185.84 | Dec 14, 2023 |
 Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Dec 14, 2023 |
 Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?No | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | Dec 3, 2023 |
| Will Hamas surrender in 2023?No | sell | 800 | $0.968 | $774.4 | Dec 3, 2023 |
| Will Hamas surrender in 2023?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.980 | $1.36K | Nov 27, 2023 |
| Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.530 | $21.2 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?No | buy | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?No | buy | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | Nov 27, 2023 |
 Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.970 | $14.55 | Nov 27, 2023 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 2.62K | $0.500 | $1.31K | Nov 27, 2023 |
 Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?No | buy | 160.33 | $0.570 | $91.39 | Nov 7, 2023 |
| Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?No | buy | 211 | $0.570 | $120.27 | Nov 7, 2023 |
 Will the UAW strike end by October 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Nov 7, 2023 |
| Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | Nov 6, 2023 |
 Will weed be rescheduled in 2023?No | buy | 300 | $0.959 | $287.7 | Nov 6, 2023 |
| Will the UAW strike end by October 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Nov 6, 2023 |
 US military intervention by Oct 31?No | buy | 282.42 | $0.930 | $262.65 | Nov 1, 2023 |
| US military intervention by Oct 31?No | buy | 97.94 | $0.900 | $88.15 | Nov 1, 2023 |
| US military intervention by Oct 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.941 | $49.87 | Nov 1, 2023 |
 Trump and Biden both win nomination?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.660 | $9.9 | Nov 1, 2023 |
 [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Nov 1, 2023 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.