
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 33% on 13 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2024 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 33% on 13 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 23% on 14 Jan 2024. $129.23K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 7:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 13 Jan 2024 – 1 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2024 | 33.0% |
| 1 Feb 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DumbPunter | Yes | 892.86 |
| Haley | Yes | 222.22 |
| Anon99 | Yes | 157.89 |
| 0xATC | Yes | 147.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD between 12 Jan '24 12:00 and 31 Jan '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 3,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-eth-hit-3000-in-january
| mrw123 | Yes | 137.93 |
| ags83 | Yes | 76.92 |
| margauxx | Yes | 57.69 |
| Crimson Signal 8889 | Yes | 54 |
| BullinChina | Yes | 5 |
| Ancountless | No | 0.03 |
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