Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0%; no result has been reported.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2024 to 29 Jan 2024, the highest close was 17% on 20 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jan 2024. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.4% on 25 Jan 2024.
$313.74K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Billysillywilly with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 151.5K.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 6:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 17 Jan 2024 – 29 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2024 | 12.5% |
| 29 Jan 2024 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 151.48K |
| Billysillywilly | Yes | 1.02K |
| Middle-ClassMoneyMan | No | 1 |
| TurkishDelight | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by between 12.5% (inclusive) and 15% (exclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-margin-of-victory-in-new-hampshire-primary
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