Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 11 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2023 to 5 Nov 2023, the highest close was 36% on 2 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 36% on 2 Nov 2023. $340.98K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 11:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 11 Oct 2023 – 5 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2023 | 12.5% |
| 5 Nov 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tpaul | Yes | 4.2K |
| alekso | Yes | 1.16K |
| mCmA | Yes | 1.09K |
| billCosbySyrop | Yes | 1.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense. The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-military-intervention-by-oct-31
| mumps | Yes | 1.02K |
| furi | Yes | 1K |
| bvcket0fampz | Yes | 597.38 |
| omnomnomngon | Yes | 428.57 |
| eyrabeats | Yes | 234.62 |
| CookHeisenberg | Yes | 137.97 |
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