Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$878.5K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 27 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2023 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 71.5% on 9 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 25.5% on 13 Jan 2024. $878.48K traded over the market's life.

38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 6:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 27 Dec 2023 – 1 Feb 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Dec 2023	51.0%
1 Feb 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
BlahBlahBlah	Yes	5.19K
DegenRambo76	Yes	4.24K
BelkaDegu	Yes	1.05K

10 of 38 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 26 Dec '23 8:00 and 31 Jan '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 50,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.