Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$277.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 10 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 10 Nov 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 66% on 9 Dec 2023 and the lowest 3.5% on 31 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 35.5% on 12 Dec 2023. $277.23K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 9:13 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 10 Nov 2023 – 1 Jan 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Nov 2023	37.5%
1 Jan 2024	11.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Elevator1	Yes	10.44K
Jesse Livermore	Yes	8.65K
Edwin Lefevre	Yes	7.23K
Shamandar	Yes	1.77K

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD between 9 Nov '23 00:00 and 31 Dec '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 2,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.