
Resolved Yes on 13 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.5%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 11 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 93.5% on 13 Nov 2024 and the low 62.5% on 11 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 81.5% on 12 Oct 2024. $73.12K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 2:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 11 Oct 2024 – 13 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2024 | 62.5% |
| 13 Nov 2024 | 93.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending October 2024 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by more than 2.4 percent over the 12 month period ending October 2024 and “No“ otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS October 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 13, 2024, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ---- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if inflation over the 12 month period ending in October before seasonal adjustment is 2.5%, this market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 2.4%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/annual-inflation-above-2pt4-in-october
| Jerexotic | No | 125 |
| Skexal | No | 54.17 |
| Javi4pp | No | 42.22 |
| ZEDELACAPITAL | No | 25 |
| KevinF26 | No | 13.64 |
| vekk | Yes | 5.41 |
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