Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 120 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 69% on 8 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 26% on 13 Dec 2024. $736.78K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 13.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JoelWish | Yes | 1.25K |
| gandalf | Yes | 1K |
| Shershenyka | Yes | 387.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia withdraws all conventional combat units from Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market refers only to conventional Russian military units operating under the Ministry of Defense, such as ground forces, air forces, or naval personnel. The presence of private military contractors (PMCs) such as Wagner Group, military advisors, or special operations forces will not disqualify the market from resolving to "Yes," provided there are no conventional Russian military units actively operating in Syria. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-russia-pull-out-of-syria
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 384.62 |
| Indigo Meteor C0CD | Yes | 235 |
| MobileAcc2 | Yes | 200 |
| alau1218 | Yes | 200 |
| JewJitsu | Yes | 175.18 |
| jvilius | Yes | 164.97 |
| koningdanny | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
