Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | Aug 31, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.300 |
| $9 |
| Jul 16, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 23.39 | $0.250 | $5.85 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 25 | $0.210 | $5.25 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 120 | $0.230 | $27.6 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19?Up | buy | 40 | $0.233 | $9.3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.382 | $19.1 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.041 | $2.05 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | May 12, 2025 |
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?No | sell | 21 | $0.899 | $18.88 | May 7, 2025 |
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 5 | $0.238 | $1.19 | May 7, 2025 |
Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 38.58 | $0.230 | $8.87 | May 7, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | May 6, 2025 |
India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | May 6, 2025 |
X Money launch in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.68 | $0.780 | $10.67 | May 4, 2025 |
X Money launch in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.69 | $0.770 | $10.54 | May 4, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.967 | $20.31 | May 4, 2025 |
India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.630 | $2.15 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 365 | $0.140 | $51.1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?No | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.012 | $1.08 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.032 | $0.8 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in his first 100 days?No | buy | 20 | $0.055 | $1.1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?No | buy | 120 | $0.580 | $69.6 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.630 | $1.68 | Apr 10, 2025 |
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Apr 10, 2025 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?No | buy | 18.41 | $0.018 | $0.33 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?No | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1.02 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.016 | $0.16 | Apr 8, 2025 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Apr 8, 2025 |