Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 22% on 27 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 159 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 32.5% on 2 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.7% on 29 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 17% on 29 Jul 2023. $3.59M traded over the market's life.
270 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 159 points, 27 Jul 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2023 | 22.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Endgoon | Yes | 66.51K |
| Oca577 | Yes | 65.29K |
| Giving-Fort | Yes | 56.1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the paper titled "The First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" (https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008) are replicated at least two times by independent researchers unaffiliated with the authors of this paper by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources and experts verifying the legitimacy of these replications. If there is ambiguity as to whether replications under consideration for the resolution of this market are credible, this may remain open until July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, to allow for the publication of any replication results in a reputable journal. One such publication will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If no such paper is published by this delayed resolution time, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real
| Yes |
| 25.23K |
| smackin9 | Yes | 21.84K |
| Thin-Membership | Yes | 20.97K |
| Faint-Greatgrandmother | Yes | 12.68K |
| Zaaaaac | Yes | 12.5K |
| Wealthy-Sound | Yes | 10.46K |
| Blah12345 | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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