Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:46 AM UTC.
Analytics
cacato is down $1.14K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:46 AM UTC.
$13.52 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.780 | $77.5 | -$0.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.79 | 30m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 23:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 11:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 11:46 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 23:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $252.25 and losing ones cost $437.04 across the latest 50 settled positions. 38% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $51.68 on “Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?” (Yes); the largest loss, $62.02 on “Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 953 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.09K across 165 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 102.5 |
| $0.680 |
| $67.14 |
| -$2.56 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | No | 70.44 | $0.840 | $56 | -$3.17 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | Yes | 105.5 | $0.609 | $54.23 | -$10.02 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 100 | $0.493 | $48.65 | -$0.65 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 60 | $0.690 | $37.23 | -$4.17 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 100 | $0.446 | $29.45 | -$15.15 |
 Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? | No | 40 | $0.701 | $25.34 | -$2.7 |
 Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 50 | $0.520 | $23.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 23.53 | $0.916 | $20.84 | -$0.72 |
 Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.390 | $18.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? | No | 40 | $0.571 | $17.38 | -$5.46 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | $0.179 | $16.35 | -$1.55 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $14.8 | -$0.4 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $14.7 | -$0.3 |
 Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.800 | $14.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $14.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $14.2 | +$0.6 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 79 | $0.170 | $13.86 | +$0.43 |
 Will the Republicans win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 64.12 | $0.460 | $13.14 | -$16.35 |
 Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15? | No | 20.2 | $0.480 | $12.52 | +$2.83 |
 Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.5 | $0.514 | $12.33 | +$0.77 |
 Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | Yes | 32.57 | $0.450 | $12.21 | -$2.44 |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.890 | $12.1 | -$5.7 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.820 | $11.5 | -$29.5 |
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.179 |
| $3.58 |
| 44m ago |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Yes | buy | 32.57 | $0.450 | $14.66 | 7h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.170 | $13.43 | 9h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes | buy | 102.5 | $0.680 | $69.7 | 9h ago |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes | buy | 25.11 | $0.522 | $13.11 | 10h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | sell | 117.51 | $0.430 | $50.53 | 12h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 117.51 | $0.400 | $47 | 12h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No | sell | 118.03 | $0.628 | $74.18 | 12h ago |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 12h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No | buy | 118.03 | $0.560 | $66.1 | 13h ago |
 Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.096 | $5.28 | 13h ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | 13h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | 15h ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 18h ago |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?No | sell | 40 | $0.692 | $27.66 | 18h ago |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?No | buy | 40 | $0.647 | $25.88 | 20h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 21h ago |
 Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No | buy | 50 | $0.043 | $2.15 | 21h ago |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.280 | $6.75 | 21h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | 22h ago |
| Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.5 | $0.514 | $11.57 | 22h ago |
 Will Trump Airport become law this year?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.073 | $1.46 | 23h ago |
 Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?No | buy | 0.28 | $0.300 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?No | buy | 19.71 | $0.300 | $5.91 | 1d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.353 | $5.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.351 | $12.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?No | sell | 51 | $0.552 | $28.15 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 1d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 100 | $0.493 | $49.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.231 | $11.57 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?Yes | sell | 10.72 | $0.915 | $9.81 | 2d ago |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.916 | $21.55 | 2d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 2d ago |
| Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?Yes | buy | 21.33 | $0.170 | $3.63 | 2d ago |
| Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.375 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Cyprus win 2026-27 Nations League Group C2?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?No | buy | 29 | $0.571 | $16.56 | 2d ago |
| Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?No | buy | 11 | $0.571 | $6.28 | 2d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.5 | $0.310 | $3.57 | 2d ago |
 Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.885 | $44.27 | 2d ago |
| Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?Yes | buy | 10.72 | $0.862 | $9.24 | 2d ago |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.213 | $10.65 | 2d ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Evan Stewart be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 2d ago |
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.638 | $25.52 | 3d ago |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.592 | $23.68 | 3d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.