Analytics
Yes is at 38.6%, down 9.9 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 60 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.2% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 4.9% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50.1%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 65.2% on 19 Oct 2026.
Jesse Love is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)”, ahead of Justin Allgaier at 38%.
$27.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.27K since listing. The order book holds $781.53, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 228 trades, $553.03 bought Yes and $831.07 bought No.
The largest Yes position is cosmicsteaks with 385 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 227. Ten wallets hold 80.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 48.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 38.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cosmicsteaks | Yes | 385.24 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 227.25 |
| PMWolf | No | 111 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nascar-oreilly-auto-parts-series-champion-2026
| JoGold |
| Yes |
| 73 |
| erdos-baconator | No | 70.81 |
| bmoan | No | 52.08 |
| Dirty-Burn | Yes | 48.64 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 47.36 |
| pengu-n | Yes | 44.06 |
| oneoftheppl | No | 41.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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