Analytics
Yes is at 28%, about where the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
Across the 18 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 18.5% on 11 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Crude Oil all time high by...?”.
$351.73 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $22.64K since listing. The order book holds $76.88K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 163 trades, $2.47K bought Yes and $8.45K bought No; the largest was a $2.96K buy of No at 78.0¢.
The largest Yes position is lastminwin with 4.1K shares; the largest No position is Noahrichards98 with 4.6K. Ten wallets hold 77.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 28.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Noahrichards98 | No | 4.59K |
| lastminwin | Yes | 4.06K |
| BondSeeker | No | 3.45K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/crude-oil-all-time-high-by
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly |
| No |
| 2.5K |
| AXIOSinsider | Yes | 2.09K |
| SingletonFamilyFund | Yes | 2K |
| compute | Yes | 1.61K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 1.5K |
| newbie77 | No | 1.11K |
| XAE12Archangel | Yes | 1.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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