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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 15.05K | $0.128 | $1.58K | -$349.76 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 152.04 | $0.360 | $54.73 | 16h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 19.52K |
| $0.100 |
| $1.46K |
| -$479.86 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.03K | $0.276 | $1.01K | -$103.61 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.85K | $0.208 | $906.64 | -$310.32 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 4.17K | $0.144 | $438.11 | -$161.93 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 1.28K | $0.326 | $404.25 | -$14.36 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 6.23K | $0.075 | $298.95 | -$168.14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 370.49 | $0.502 | $207.48 | +$21.59 |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.23K | $0.066 | $185.83 | -$27.46 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.19K | $0.089 | $164.43 | -$30.81 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 4.16K | $0.052 | $106 | -$111.4 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | Yes | 2.02K | $0.050 | $91.91 | -$9.09 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 620 | $0.160 | $89.9 | -$9.3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 202.38 | $0.396 | $79.94 | -$0.26 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 824.05 | $0.070 | $61.8 | +$4.12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 213.52 | $0.209 | $30.96 | -$13.6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.022 | $17.18 | -$5.73 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 31.09 | $0.240 | $8.24 | +$0.78 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 53.14 | $0.499 | $6.38 | -$20.12 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | Yes | 18.3 | $0.180 | $1.1 | -$2.2 |
 Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | Yes | 0.29 | $0.379 | $0.05 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 309.98 |
| $0.330 |
| $102.29 |
| 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 122.52 | $0.340 | $41.66 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | 18h ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 545.89 | $0.062 | $33.85 | 23h ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 639.58 | $0.058 | $37.1 | 23h ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.19 | $0.060 | $2.71 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 1.42K | $0.420 | $595.61 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 472.7 | $0.440 | $207.99 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 269.05 | $0.393 | $105.87 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 101.52 | $0.500 | $50.76 | 1d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 339.53 | $0.046 | $15.62 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 177.78 | $0.230 | $40.89 | 1d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 198.03 | $0.100 | $19.8 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 228.57 | $0.320 | $73.14 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 65.62 | $0.240 | $15.75 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 66 | $0.360 | $23.76 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 296.55 | $0.310 | $91.93 | 3d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 303.82 | $0.160 | $48.61 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.300 | $29.4 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 343 | $0.570 | $195.51 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 79.61 | $0.560 | $44.57 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 215.18 | $0.350 | $75.31 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.300 | $5.99 | 3d ago |
 Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 222 | $0.045 | $9.99 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.022 | $22.9 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 88.25 | $0.595 | $52.51 | 4d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.050 | $101 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 620 | $0.160 | $99.2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 225.05 | $0.300 | $67.52 | 6d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.070 | $95.62 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 207.39 | $0.013 | $2.7 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 455 | $0.310 | $141.05 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.37 | $0.280 | $4.58 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.64 | $0.750 | $24.48 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.12K | $0.001 | $6.44 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.32K | $0.003 | $12.97 | 9d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.070 | $94.08 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 988 | $0.090 | $88.92 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.54 | $0.076 | $3.54 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.090 | $178.63 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 207.61 | $0.080 | $16.61 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 323.15 | $0.210 | $67.86 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 826.22 | $0.003 | $2.48 | 9d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.170 | $190.4 | 9d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 345.1 | $0.120 | $41.41 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.033 | $0.01 | 13d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 226.5 | $0.130 | $29.45 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.113 | $0.05 | 14d ago |