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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.93K | $0.589 | $2.38K | +$63.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 328.36 | $0.232 | $76.13 | 10h ago |
| No |
| 5.38K |
| $0.279 |
| $1.67K |
| +$166.48 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.85K | $0.644 | $1.31K | +$121.64 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 1.25K | $0.683 | $1.01K | +$158.01 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.157 | $805.5 | +$334.23 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 900 | $0.783 | $805.5 | +$100.9 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 925.46 | $0.582 | $559.9 | +$21.51 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | Yes | 1K | $0.534 | $545 | +$11.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 640 | $0.581 | $419.2 | +$47.4 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.89K | $0.176 | $405.27 | +$71.83 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | 507.61 | $0.546 | $390.86 | +$113.44 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | No | 500 | $0.643 | $370 | +$48.45 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 337.19 | $0.721 | $289.98 | +$46.77 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | Yes | 407.3 | $0.704 | $276.96 | -$9.73 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 244.15 | $0.647 | $164.8 | +$6.88 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.763 | $146.65 | -$625.2 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 476.19 | $0.210 | $145.24 | +$45.24 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 266.01 | $0.450 | $134.33 | +$14.65 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.292 | $98.25 | +$54.41 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 216.57 | $0.346 | $97.46 | +$22.46 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 163.29 | $0.484 | $97.16 | +$18.18 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 157.65 | $0.315 | $90.65 | +$41.01 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 190.15 | $0.365 | $69.4 | -$0.09 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 256.37 | $0.061 | $53.84 | +$38.21 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 166.37 | $0.117 | $53.24 | +$33.8 |
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes| buy |
| 810.22 |
| $0.013 |
| $10.79 |
| 10h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 373.51 | $0.253 | $94.43 | 10h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 133.76 | $0.370 | $49.49 | 17h ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 25.5 | $0.910 | $23.21 | 17h ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | 17h ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.340 | $40 | 19h ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 155.74 | $0.053 | $8.24 | 19h ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 109.08 | $0.102 | $11.12 | 19h ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 495.03 | $0.011 | $5.49 | 19h ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 244.15 | $0.647 | $157.93 | 19h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 269.63 | $0.660 | $177.96 | 19h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 56.39 | $0.355 | $20 | 19h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 166 | $0.480 | $79.68 | 20h ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 187.93 | $0.210 | $39.43 | 20h ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 124.24 | $0.610 | $75.79 | 20h ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 92.7 | $0.700 | $64.89 | 20h ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 208.6 | $0.561 | $116.99 | 1d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.802 | $32.09 | 1d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 1d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 53.36 | $0.910 | $48.56 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 281.02 | $0.114 | $32.16 | 2d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | 2d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 98.69 | $0.680 | $67.11 | 2d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.580 | $1.68K | 2d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.560 | $280 | 2d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 277.3 | $0.670 | $185.79 | 2d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.365 | $14.96 | 2d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 55.7 | $0.890 | $49.57 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 22.76 | $0.690 | $15.7 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 2d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.593 | $98.45 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes | sell | 50.29 | $0.755 | $37.99 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 146.96 | $0.640 | $94.05 | 2d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.640 | $160 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 101.36 | $0.670 | $67.91 | 2d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 291.73 | $0.710 | $207.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 330 | $0.221 | $72.94 | 2d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.740 | $295.86 | 2d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.390 | $26.13 | 2d ago |
 Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 11.97 | $0.699 | $8.37 | 2d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.110 | $4.62 | 2d ago |
 Will Thinky be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.002 | $0.43 | 2d ago |
 Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.001 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.007 | $1.25 | 2d ago |
 Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.003 | $0.51 | 2d ago |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.004 | $0.72 | 2d ago |
 Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.002 | $0.41 | 2d ago |
 Will Poolside be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.002 | $0.37 | 2d ago |