Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
cacato is down $1.14K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 PM UTC.
$14.64 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | No | 150 | $0.530 | $81.75 | +$2.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No | buy | 150 | $0.530 | $79.5 | 11m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 23:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 15:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 15:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 23:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $252.25 and losing ones cost $437.04 across the latest 50 settled positions. 38% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $51.68 on “Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?” (Yes); the largest loss, $62.02 on “Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 959 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.12K across 168 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.780 |
| $77.5 |
| -$0.5 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 102.5 | $0.680 | $66.11 | -$3.59 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | No | 70.44 | $0.840 | $56 | -$3.17 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | Yes | 105.5 | $0.609 | $54.23 | -$10.02 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 60 | $0.690 | $37.95 | -$3.45 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 100 | $0.446 | $29.15 | -$15.45 |
 Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 50 | $0.520 | $23.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 23.53 | $0.916 | $20.78 | -$0.78 |
 Will Jesse Love win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship? | No | 40 | $0.571 | $20.14 | -$2.7 |
 Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.400 | $18.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | $0 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 100 | $0.179 | $15.6 | -$2.3 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $14.7 | -$0.5 |
 Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.800 | $14.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $14.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $13.9 | -$1.1 |
 Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $13.4 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Republicans win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 64.12 | $0.460 | $13.14 | -$16.35 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 100 | $0.179 | $12.55 | -$5.35 |
 Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15? | No | 20.2 | $0.480 | $12.52 | +$2.83 |
 Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.5 | $0.514 | $12.33 | +$0.77 |
 Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | Yes | 32.57 | $0.450 | $12.21 | -$2.44 |
 Will Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | Yes | 20 | $0.520 | $11.95 | +$1.55 |
 Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | Yes | 25.11 | $0.522 | $11.66 | -$1.44 |
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.422 |
| $21.1 |
| 38m ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 1h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?No | buy | 45 | $0.350 | $15.75 | 1h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.185 | $14.62 | 1h ago |
 Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.755 | $30.18 | 1h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.423 | $8.46 | 2h ago |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 2h ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 2h ago |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.331 | $6.62 | 2h ago |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | 2h ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 100 | $0.486 | $48.6 | 3h ago |
 Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.79 | 3h ago |
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.179 | $3.58 | 4h ago |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Yes | buy | 32.57 | $0.450 | $14.66 | 11h ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.170 | $13.43 | 12h ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes | buy | 102.5 | $0.680 | $69.7 | 12h ago |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes | buy | 25.11 | $0.522 | $13.11 | 14h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | sell | 117.51 | $0.430 | $50.53 | 15h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 117.51 | $0.400 | $47 | 15h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No | sell | 118.03 | $0.628 | $74.18 | 16h ago |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 16h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No | buy | 118.03 | $0.560 | $66.1 | 16h ago |
 Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.096 | $5.28 | 16h ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | 17h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | 18h ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 22h ago |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?No | sell | 40 | $0.692 | $27.66 | 22h ago |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?No | buy | 40 | $0.647 | $25.88 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 1d ago |
 Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No | buy | 50 | $0.043 | $2.15 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.280 | $6.75 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | 1d ago |
| Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.5 | $0.514 | $11.57 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump Airport become law this year?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.073 | $1.46 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?No | buy | 0.28 | $0.300 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?No | buy | 19.71 | $0.300 | $5.91 | 1d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.353 | $5.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.351 | $12.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?No | sell | 51 | $0.552 | $28.15 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 1d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 100 | $0.493 | $49.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.231 | $11.57 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?Yes | sell | 10.72 | $0.915 | $9.81 | 2d ago |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.916 | $21.55 | 2d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 2d ago |
| Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?Yes | buy | 21.33 | $0.170 | $3.63 | 2d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.