Analytics
Yes is at 3.6%, down 23 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 21.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
$59.58 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $35.66K since listing. The order book holds $15.34K, with a 4.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 339 trades, $502.27 bought Yes and $13.79K bought No; the largest was a $1.78K sell of No at 87.3¢.
The largest Yes position is ScottyNooo with 833 shares; the largest No position is Holygoat with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 73.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 3.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Holygoat | No | 1.65K |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 832.99 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 800 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-talarico-and-paxton-debate-live-by-october-15
| pieped |
| No |
| 705.61 |
| Contestable-Parfait | Yes | 567.01 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 481.16 |
| Mantzuraj | Yes | 352.49 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 337.33 |
| Soulful-Remains-Chorus | Yes | 278 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 255.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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