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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will POTUS tweet 50 or more times Jan 22-29?No | buy | 100.25 | $0.989 | $99.15 | Jan 26, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.981 |
| $39.24 |
| Jan 26, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 56% and 58% on January 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.680 | $40.8 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.890 | $53.4 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | buy | 749.5 | $0.999 | $748.75 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.890 | $53.4 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 50 | $0.993 | $49.65 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Hillary?No | buy | 53 | $0.939 | $49.77 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Edward Snowden?No | buy | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?No | buy | 50 | $0.977 | $48.85 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?No | buy | 60 | $0.836 | $50.16 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Adam Kinzinger?No | buy | 60 | $0.808 | $48.48 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 54 | $0.930 | $50.22 | Jan 12, 2025 |
Israel military strike against Iran in November?No | buy | 671.12 | $0.999 | $670.45 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Israel military strike against Iran in November?No | buy | 15.9 | $0.998 | $15.87 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?No | buy | 95 | $0.810 | $76.95 | Nov 23, 2024 |
CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)Gray | buy | 90 | $0.620 | $55.8 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | buy | 85 | $0.440 | $37.4 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will Trump get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.969 | $130.82 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?No | buy | 150 | $0.910 | $136.5 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Israel military strike against Iran in November?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?Yes | buy | 92.62 | $0.950 | $87.99 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?Yes | buy | 157.75 | $0.971 | $153.18 | Nov 22, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 1.12K | $0.999 | $1.12K | Nov 13, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 102.2 | $0.995 | $101.69 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Trump wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?No | buy | 210.45 | $0.900 | $189.41 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 147 | $0.999 | $146.85 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?No | sell | 176.11 | $0.990 | $174.35 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.992 | $8.68 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Kamala wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?No | buy | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | Nov 1, 2024 |
Kamala wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?No | buy | 78 | $0.860 | $67.08 | Nov 1, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 345 | $0.644 | $222.18 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 345 | $0.420 | $144.9 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Kamala wins Pennsylvania but loses the Election?No | buy | 345 | $0.860 | $296.7 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Trump blowout victory?No | sell | 129.87 | $0.850 | $110.39 | Oct 31, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?No | buy | 300 | $0.610 | $183 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.339 | $101.7 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 102.2 | $0.980 | $100.16 | Oct 27, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.170 | $22.08 | Oct 27, 2024 |
Trump blowout victory?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Oct 27, 2024 |
Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?No | buy | 128.68 | $0.989 | $127.26 | Oct 27, 2024 |
Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.989 | $55.56 | Oct 27, 2024 |
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?No | buy | 64 | $0.780 | $49.92 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?No | buy | 6 | $0.950 | $5.7 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Oct 25, 2024 |