
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60.5%. Yes opened at 37% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 88% on 15 Jan 2025 and the lowest 37% on 8 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 69.5% on 9 Nov 2024. $380.49K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 8 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 37.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AManForAllMarkets | No | 23.38K |
| AndriiKLM | No | 19.69K |
| cookera | No | 925.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order that aims to increase, enhance, or facilitate the deportation of illegal immigrants on January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trumps 2017 executive orders, such as Executive Order 13768, which expanded categories for prioritized deportation, or Executive Order 13767, which strengthened border security and detention capacities related to illegal immigration are examples of Executives orders which would qualify. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-deportation-executive-order-on-day-1
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