Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 30 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 100% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 13% on 4 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 64.5% on 11 Nov 2024. $56.11K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 30 Oct 2024 – 18 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2024 | 45.5% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.22K |
| SirJorgito | No | 641.67 |
| harshilanand39 | No | 292.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of votes Donald Trump will receive in the upcoming election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-votes-will-trump-get
| No |
| 164 |
| omartag | No | 100 |
| Bold Kestrel 6D1D | No | 29 |
| vldkdr | Yes | 27.57 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 20 |
| ObsidianSummitObsidian | No | 4 |
| erghtht | No | 2.22 |
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