Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 8% on 24 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 31 Jan 2025. $7.21K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 5:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 31 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 8.0% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.3K |
| Geromi | No | 0.06 |
| eieio | No | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-on-rating-on-january-31
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