Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 24 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 16.5% on 24 Oct 2024 and the low 1.4% on 7 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 1.4% on 7 Nov 2024. $120.91K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 8:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 24 Oct 2024 – 7 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2024 | 16.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Macondocapit | Yes | 384.62 |
| Bold Harbor EC63 | Yes | 300 |
| Spotted-Tankful | Yes | 274.67 |
| Long-Term-Undertaker | Yes | 181.47 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania and loses the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race and the state for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kamala-harris-wins-pennsylvania-but-loses-the-election
| jhmw79 | Yes | 38.46 |
| akuppa | Yes | 3.45 |
| DaveedOftheSnows | No | 0.1 |
| gus8 | No | 0.09 |
| dorewowj11 | No | 0.01 |
| dfxcv13 | No | 0.01 |
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