Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 26 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 198 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2024 to 9 Nov 2024, the highest close was 8.5% on 26 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Nov 2024. $108.97K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 9, 10:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 198 points, 26 Apr 2024 – 9 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2024 | 8.5% |
| 9 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Comebackkid | Yes | 1.8K |
| Horizon | Yes | 1.39K |
| CapCom | Yes | 455.09 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Federal tax on unrealized gains is signed into Law in the United States by Nov 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/unrealized-gains-tax-passed-before-election-day
| obito | Yes | 153.85 |
| Pose1don | Yes | 100 |
| Pmorp | Yes | 38.46 |
| suggestied | Yes | 35.71 |
| medici | Yes | 33.9 |
| lyndonbj | No | 21.65 |
| Citzenblu | Yes | 20.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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