Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 91.35 | $0.820 | $74.91 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 108.7 |
| $0.573 |
| $62.29 |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 29.58 | $0.427 | $12.63 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 144.6 | $0.820 | $118.57 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 58.1 | $0.870 | $50.55 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.338 | $10 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will threadguy interview Trump before October?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Annual inflation above 2.5% in August?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Fed rate hike in 2024?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 110-119?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 120-129?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 130 or more times?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 100-109?Yes | buy | 66.18 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 90-99 times?Yes | buy | 236.29 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 US bank failure by October 31?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$2000 | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Solana above $150 on August 16?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon blame a foreign actor for Twitter crash?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 77.4 | $0.810 | $62.69 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on August 16?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Maduro out before September?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 12, 2024 |