Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 56% on 24 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 31 Jan 2025 and the low 56% on 24 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 83% on 2 Jan 2025. $314.51K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 7:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 39 points · 24 Dec 2024 – 31 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2024 | 56.0% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 134.84K |
| Eme | No | 2.29K |
| wefiu | No | 1.82K |
| hunta-the-explora | No | 1.82K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on Januar 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/top-ai-model-on-january-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Lrnd | No | 1K |
| enochsmiles | No | 999.69 |
| na9er | No | 670 |
| gandalf | No | 499.98 |
| TradeTactician99 | No | 250 |
| windowsxpfan | No | 185.08 |
