Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 9.48 | $0.820 | $8.01 | +$0.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.968 | $4 | May 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.02 |
| $0.997 |
| $8 |
| May 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.975 | $6.97 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 4.19 | $0.950 | $3.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)Michigan Wolverines | sell | 2.34K | $0.510 | $1.19K | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.820 | $7.77 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.986 | $7 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.996 | $7.32 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 ICE forced to unmask by February 28?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.945 | $3.9 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.995 | $6.34 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 15 be less than 1,500,000?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.989 | $4.67 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 28.46 | $0.009 | $0.26 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 28.46 | $0.052 | $1.48 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.958 | $19.16 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Rockets vs. LakersLakers | buy | 151 | $0.440 | $66.44 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 6.27 | $0.880 | $5.52 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.890 | $2.57 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 186.57 | $0.536 | $100 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 254.66 | $0.936 | $238.36 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Megaquake by October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?No | buy | 4.19 | $0.954 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.984 | $5.23 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 John Thune out as Senate Majority leader by October 31?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.986 | $3.23 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5% on October 10?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.983 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.940 | $3.34 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.950 | $1.85 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Bull run: SeptemberNo | buy | 4.24 | $0.984 | $4.17 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.995 | $3.12 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 28-30 ET?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.995 | $3.23 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Apple launch an iPad Air on September 9?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.990 | $3.21 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 420 and 439 times September 5–12?No | buy | 6.48 | $0.992 | $6.43 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.998 | $2.54 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 12?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.958 | $3.23 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Trump x Mamdani debate before election?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.989 | $2.23 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Pepe ETF in 2025?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.902 | $3.54 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.976 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Rachel Reeves leave Starner’s cabinet by July 15th?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.980 | $6 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.989 | $6.32 | Jul 5, 2025 |