Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 22 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 201 daily closes on record from 22 May 2025 to 8 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 1 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 48% on 31 Jul 2025. $3.8M traded over the market's life.
549 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 22 May 2025 – 8 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2025 | 20.5% |
| 8 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.1M |
| kederrac | Yes | 121.44K |
| Mariusssss888 | Yes | 101.44K |
Nicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election to become the next elected Mayor of Bucharest. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the by-election will not be considered. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/romania-bucharest-mayoral-election
| RogyDJ | Yes | 80.2K |
| Venerated-Hedge | Yes | 61.13K |
| Golden Maven 9DF6 | Yes | 35.42K |
| Lavitabella | Yes | 23.37K |
| ionpop | Yes | 15.12K |
| asalcu | Yes | 15.04K |
| tuty77 | Yes | 11.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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