Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.4% on 5 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 2.4% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Sep 2025. $268.26K traded over the market's life.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 5 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2025 | 2.4% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Scout F852 | Yes | 34.26K |
| Stevena830 | Yes | 3.88K |
| qiqiqiqiqi | Yes | 1.51K |
| BeefDerky | Yes | 1.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met during September 2025 ET: - Fed decreases interest rates by at least 25 bps - Bitcoin hits $150k - Ethereum reaches $5000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bul.png
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bull-run-september-884
| amitmittelman | Yes | 1.01K |
| Apt-Barracks | Yes | 1.01K |
| Cypherav | Yes | 1K |
| rr0001 | Yes | 1K |
| fhvbeh | Yes | 1K |
| wreckin | Yes | 978.9 |
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