Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 30 Jun 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.4% on 18 May 2026. $146.5K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 1:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 17 May 2026 – 30 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 12.5% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 53.9K |
| AnimalEater | Yes | 24.02K |
| acal | Yes | 4.7K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-june-849
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 2.78K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.49K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 2.07K |
| dzP3 | Yes | 2K |
| FatPika | Yes | 1.18K |
| norealtime | Yes | 999.96 |
| Olka | Yes | 723.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
