Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 1.7% on 5 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Nov 2025. $18.64K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 1.4% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.32K |
| anta | Yes | 3.69K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 751 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 219 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune announces that he will resign from his position as Senate Majority Leader, or otherwise ceases to be Senate Majority Leader for any length of time, between October 1, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by John Thune or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/john-thune-out-as-senate-majority-leader-by-october-31
| Vaskipezde | Yes | 100 |
| Imrani | Yes | 83.33 |
| Unequaled-Vibration | Yes | 64.65 |
| atomato | Yes | 64.19 |
| yiwang88 | Yes | 63.11 |
| alean | Yes | 62.46 |
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