Analytics
Lone-Expertise has made $30.96 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 5 | $0.390 | $4.98 | +$3.03 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 03:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
33 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 09:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 09:16 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $156.63 and losing ones cost $9.07 across the latest 50 settled positions. 94% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.7 on “Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?” (No); the largest loss, $3.12 on “Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?” (No).
It has traded 310 markets. Its open positions are worth $104.36 across 33 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.610 |
| $4.88 |
| +$1.83 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.490 | $4.81 | +$2.36 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.490 | $4.78 | +$2.33 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.340 | $4.73 | +$3.03 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.516 | $4.61 | +$2.03 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.320 | $4.58 | +$2.98 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.480 | $4.58 | +$2.18 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $4.55 | +$2.9 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5 | $0.410 | $4.5 | +$2.45 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.590 | $4.38 | +$1.43 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.610 | $4.33 | +$1.28 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.509 | $4.32 | +$1.77 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.510 | $4.28 | +$1.73 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 5 | $0.553 | $3.86 | +$1.1 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.610 | $3.83 | +$0.78 |
 Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.500 | $3.78 | +$1.28 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 5 | $0.350 | $3.58 | +$1.83 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 5 | $0.628 | $3.11 | -$0.03 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.340 | $3.08 | +$1.38 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $2.93 | +$0.93 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 5 | $0.310 | $2.45 | +$0.9 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.370 | $2.23 | +$0.38 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.270 | $1.93 | +$0.58 |
 Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | $0 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
