Analytics
Yes is at 75%, up 6 points from 69% when the market opened on 7 Aug 2026.
The high was 75% on 13 Oct 2026 and the low 43.5% on 9 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 68%; a month ago, 51.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 71.5% on 24 Sep 2026.
$384.32 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $42.97K since listing. The order book holds $4.42K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.84K bought Yes and $2.24K bought No; the largest was a $1.54K sell of No at 47.4¢.
The largest Yes position is AlofokeMusic with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is FrozenParasite with 4.7K. Ten wallets hold 74.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 13, 2:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 69 points · 7 Aug 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 69.0% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 75.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | No | 4.7K |
| AlofokeMusic | Yes | 1.91K |
| Alfryfelix | Yes | 1.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alofoke-forms-party-in-dr-by-june-30-2027
| MarcianoTech |
| Yes |
| 1.26K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 848.82 |
| WageringGrandma | No | 829.33 |
| 14600k | No | 773.09 |
| EstoyEnMiPrime | Yes | 764.47 |
| willsom | No | 721.16 |
| KiernanMeister | No | 616.48 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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