Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
Lone-Expertise has made $30.96 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:58 AM UTC.
$1.58 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Aug 30, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 5 | $0.390 | $4.98 | +$3.03 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 4h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 03:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
33 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 07:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 07:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $156.63 and losing ones cost $9.07 across the latest 50 settled positions. 94% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.7 on “Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?” (No); the largest loss, $3.12 on “Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 310 markets. Its open positions are worth $103.76 across 33 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.610 |
| $4.88 |
| +$1.83 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.490 | $4.81 | +$2.36 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.490 | $4.78 | +$2.33 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.340 | $4.73 | +$3.03 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.516 | $4.61 | +$2.03 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.320 | $4.58 | +$2.98 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.480 | $4.58 | +$2.18 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $4.58 | +$2.93 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5 | $0.410 | $4.48 | +$2.43 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.590 | $4.4 | +$1.45 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.509 | $4.34 | +$1.79 |
 Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.610 | $4.33 | +$1.28 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.510 | $4.28 | +$1.73 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 5 | $0.553 | $3.86 | +$1.1 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.610 | $3.83 | +$0.78 |
 Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.500 | $3.78 | +$1.28 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 5 | $0.350 | $3.55 | +$1.8 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 5 | $0.628 | $3.1 | -$0.04 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.340 | $3.05 | +$1.35 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $2.88 | +$0.88 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 5 | $0.310 | $2.45 | +$0.9 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.370 | $2.18 | +$0.33 |
 Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | $0 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 5 | $0.224 | $1.59 | +$0.47 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.220 |
| $1.1 |
| 1d ago |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 6d ago |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | 6d ago |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 7d ago |
 Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.203 | $1.02 | 8d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 9d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No | buy | 5 | $0.224 | $1.12 | 12d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 14d ago |
 Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 14d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 16d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.509 | $2.55 | 18d ago |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 18d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | 18d ago |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.498 | $2.49 | 19d ago |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 20d ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 20d ago |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on September 21?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.358 | $1.79 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.530 | $0.01 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.530 | $2.64 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 5 | $0.553 | $2.77 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.290 | $0.45 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.260 | $0.5 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.260 | $0.39 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.260 | $0.41 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5 | $0.601 | $3.01 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.631 | $1.26 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.631 | $1.83 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.631 | $0.06 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.