Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 615.75 | $0.940 | $575.72 | -$3.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 104.38 | $0.958 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 239.94 |
| $0.959 |
| $232.74 |
| +$2.74 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 95.19 | $0.948 | $92.48 | +$2.24 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 64.38 | $0.932 | $62.35 | +$2.35 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 51.71 | $0.967 | $50.49 | +$0.49 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| sell |
| 55 |
| $0.961 |
| $52.86 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.930 | $13.95 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 83.42 | $0.959 | $80 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 82.81 | $0.952 | $78.86 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 315.42 | $0.951 | $300 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 52.14 | $0.959 | $50 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 209.36 | $0.955 | $200 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 151.06 | $0.993 | $150 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 140.99 | $0.993 | $140 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 51.71 | $0.967 | $50 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | sell | 258.53 | $0.976 | $252.35 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.326 | $0.25 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 168.19 | $0.987 | $166 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 64.38 | $0.932 | $60 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 102.88 | $0.972 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 258.53 | $0.967 | $250 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.396 | $2.02 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 30.24 | $0.992 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 50.61 | $0.988 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 101.42 | $0.986 | $100 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | buy | 71.41 | $0.980 | $70 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 70.46 | $0.995 | $70.11 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.46 | $0.993 | $51.1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 103.76 | $0.993 | $103.03 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 40.4 | $0.990 | $40 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.851 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 60.85 | $0.986 | $60 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?No | sell | 73.29 | $0.981 | $71.92 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 50 | $0.991 | $49.55 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 159.35 | $0.810 | $129.07 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | sell | 107.69 | $0.991 | $106.73 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.950 | $40 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 65.93 | $0.910 | $60 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 51.35 | $0.974 | $50 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.870 | $47.85 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | sell | 63.25 | $0.961 | $60.79 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.02 | $0.967 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.978 | $29.34 | Jan 5, 2026 |