Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.881 |
| $1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Astaria airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Farcaster airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.716 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 India strike on Pakistan by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Pakistan strike on India by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security deal before September?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.751 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Dogecoin all time high by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |