
Resolved No on 31 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 55% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2025 to 31 Oct 2025, the highest close was 85.5% on 12 Oct 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 78.5% on 23 Oct 2025. $339.17K traded over the market's life.
445 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 30 Sep 2025 – 31 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | 55.0% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 120.79K |
| Schowtrader | Yes | 27.51K |
| Giving-Mortality | Yes | 14.94K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-october-731
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