Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2025 to 4 Sep 2025, the highest close was 82% on 20 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 59% on 19 Jul 2025. $274.45K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 12:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 26 Jun 2025 – 4 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2025 | 52.5% |
| 4 Sep 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| h0a80 | Yes | 10K |
| faith14921 | Yes | 5.09K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying agreements must directly address border security and demarcation, military de-escalation, airstrike cessation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition. Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, if no such statements are made, the market may resolve based on an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a formal agreement has been reached.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-syria-territorial-agreement-by-end-of-2025
| Yes |
| 3.5K |
| Roku187 | Yes | 2.86K |
| Ahedshibli | Yes | 1.83K |
| WhiteLivesMatter | Yes | 1.63K |
| imhim | Yes | 1.57K |
| wecameforfun | Yes | 1.31K |
| lissartter | Yes | 594.97 |
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